Independent Thinking

Is time running out for Ukraine?

Apr 25, 2024

Journalist Oz Katerji, Prof. Phillips P. O'Brien, and Olga Tokariuk discuss Ukraine's challenges, impact of US ammunition flow, Russian attacks on cities, aid uncertainty, strategic maneuvers in Crimea, diplomatic tensions, US election implications, and European response to Russian aggression.

38:48

Creator website

Episode guests

Olga Tokariuk

Phillips P. O'Brien

Oz Katerji

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Episode notes

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Quick takeaways

The delay in US military support significantly weakened Ukraine's defense against Russia, highlighting the importance of timely aid authorization.

Russian assaults on Ukrainian cities aim to disrupt state functionality and provoke civilian distress, necessitating strong defensive capabilities.

Deep dives

Impact of US Aid on Ukraine's War Effort

The delay in US support for Ukraine, with $61 billion in military aid stuck in Congress, significantly impacted Ukraine's ability to defend against Russia. The ammunition cut-off left Ukrainian armed forces in a serious position, relying on limited supplies. The US aid authorization is now providing ammunition, potentially enabling Ukraine to stabilize and resist Russian advances more effectively. The momentum in the war could shift in Ukraine's favor as defensive firepower strengthens with increased ammunition flow.

Introduction

2min

Impact of Ammunition Flow to Ukraine

5min

Impact of Russian Attacks on Ukrainian Cities

2min

Challenges and Hope: Impact of Aid and Uncertainty in Ukraine

10min

Strategic Maneuvers in Crimea: Ukraine's Offensive Air and Sea Operations

2min

Diplomatic Discussions and Tensions: Ukraine's Agency and Potential Attacks

2min

Implications of American Presidential Election on Ukraine

5min

European Response to Russian Aggression

11min

Bronwen Maddox is joined this week by journalist Oz Katerji and Phillips P. O’Brien, a Professor of Strategic Studies at the University of St Andrews. Joining them both in the studio is Ukrainian journalist Olga Tokariuk, the OSUN Academy Fellow in the Ukraine Forum at Chatham House.

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Presented by Bronwen Maddox. Produced by John Pollock.

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