One Decision

The Threat To China's Superpower Status

9 snips
Dec 18, 2025
This week, John Zinn, former Director for China at the National Security Council, shares his insights on China's evolving global stance. He discusses the country's shift from defensive to assertive strategies, examining Xi Jinping's tech-focused economic plans and the unexpected consequences of U.S. tariffs. The conversation delves into whether China's bold actions signal real strength or hidden weaknesses, along with the implications for Taiwan. Zinn also highlights Europe's growing dependence on China and the potential risks this poses for Western nations.
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INSIGHT

China Shifting From Defense To Offense

  • John Zinn argues China shifted this year from defensive reactions to proactive regional offense.
  • Beijing feels unchallenged because Washington focused more on trade than regional security.
INSIGHT

No Big Stimulus Is A Signal

  • Xi's restraint on stimulus signals confidence, not panic, about China's short-term economy.
  • The five-year plan's continuity shows Beijing believes current policies will strengthen China long-term.
INSIGHT

Beijing Sees U.S. Leverage But Doubts Resolve

  • China views U.S. leverage as real but doubts American appetite to use it.
  • This belief underpins Beijing's willingness to accept calculated risks like export controls.
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