The Sean Spicer Show

Prop 50 in California, Virginia New Jersey and New York Election Predictions | Ep 576

4 snips
Nov 3, 2025
Guest
Jim McLaughlin
Jim McLaughlin, political pollster and president of McLaughlin & Associates, shares insights on the pivotal elections approaching in Virginia, New Jersey, and New York City. He highlights Abigail Spanberger's lead in Virginia and the political ramifications of a scandal involving attorney general candidate Jay Jones. In New Jersey, voters express concerns over affordability, while Jack Ciattarelli gains traction across diverse communities. Meanwhile, the New York City mayoral race poses a challenge with untraditional candidates and polarizing opinions.
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INSIGHT

Shutdown Is A Partisan Strategy

  • Voters are sharply divided on the shutdown with strong base-driven views on both sides.
  • McLaughlin argues the shutdown is primarily a Democratic strategy tied to spending and messaging, not a simple numbers fight.
INSIGHT

Prop 50 Likely But Legally Vulnerable

  • Prop 50 looks likely to pass with mid-50s support, driven by Democrats outnumbering Republicans in California.
  • McLaughlin warns the measure may face constitutional challenges even if voters approve it.
INSIGHT

Virginia Races Could Tighten Late

  • Virginia's governor race polls show Abigail Spanberger leading, but McLaughlin expects tighter outcomes.
  • He highlights the attorney general race and local dynamics (Jay Jones scandal, NAACP endorsement) as pivotal factors.
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