Why national generic ballot polls are overrated for seat outcomes

It's day 34 of the government shutdown which is posed to be the longest ever as Republicans and Democrats appear to be at an impasse. President Trump has called for the "nuclear option," ending the filibuster which requires 60 votes to reopen the government. On the eve of the 2025 elections, Jim McLaughlin is here to give expert insight into tomorrow's elections. In Virginia, Abigail Spanberger is leading Winsome Earle-Sears for the Governor's race, even getting an endorsement from the NAACP. Jason Miyares has had the lead for Attorney General against Jay Jones since early October. Jay Jones is still in the race even after text messages revealed a dark, demented fantasy about him wanting to kill his political opponents and their family. In New Jersey, Jack Ciattarelli is in a neck and neck race with Mikie Sherrill, McLaughlin says New Jersey is ready for change and most people are worried about affordability. Ciattarelli has picked up support in counties President Trump did well, as well as seeing support from black voters. In New York City, while Zohran Mamdani shows a significant lead in polling, the candidates are so untraditional this race is much closer than people think. New Yorkers have to choose between a radical Socialist Zohran Mamdani and a scandal plagued independent Andrew Cuomo. Curtis Sliwa does not have the support of Trump voters which has really hindered his campaign. McLaughlin thinks this race will be close as Mamdani has a 67% unfavorability rating in Long Island and the Hudson Valley.

Featuring:

Jim McLaughlin

President & Partner | McLaughlin & Associates

https://mclaughlinonline.com/

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