ChinaTalk US-China Tech Relations: A Guide for the Perplexed
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May 27, 2022 John Bateman, a senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, shares insightful perspectives on US-China tech dynamics. He analyzes the complexities of competition and collaboration, emphasizing a balanced policy approach amid uncertainty. The conversation touches on why certain technologies were prioritized historically, the challenges of predicting foreign leadership behavior, and the importance of sound intelligence in strategy formulation. Bateman creatively links these discussions to Bob Dylan's music, highlighting the emotional undertones of geopolitical paranoia.
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Holistic China Tech Strategy
- The US government excels at discussing China tech threats but struggles with desired relationship.
- A holistic approach considering China's multifaceted role is needed.
Complexity of US-China Tech Relations
- The US-China tech relationship is a complex hyperobject, difficult to analyze holistically.
- Projecting future trends requires humility and accounting for geopolitical and technological shifts.
Differing Views on US-China Tech Relations
- Three main camps exist regarding US-China tech relations: restrictionists, centrists, and cooperationists.
- These camps differ on whether the relationship is zero-sum and which country benefits most.