More or Less: Behind the Stats Will the population of Nigeria be larger than Europe’s?
Jan 2, 2022
Experts discuss the dramatic demographic shifts as Nigeria's population is projected to potentially outgrow Europe’s in the coming decades. Key factors include education and contraception's impact on fertility rates. Nigeria could hit 400 million by 2050, while Europe's population declines due to aging and migration issues. The conversation unpacks the complexities of these trends, highlighting the challenges and uncertainties in population forecasting.
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Nigeria's Population Growth
- The Times claimed Nigeria's population will surpass Europe's in 60 years.
- Nigeria's population is currently 200 million, while Europe's (including Russia and Turkey) exceeds 740 million.
UN Population Forecast
- John Wilmoth, UN population division director, forecasts both populations at over 600 million by 2080.
- There's a 50% chance Nigeria surpasses Europe before 2085.
Population Changes
- Europe's projected 650 million in 2080 represents little change, while Nigeria's signifies a dramatic increase.
- The UN projects Nigeria to become the world's third most populous country by 2050 due to rapid growth.