The Real Science of Sport Podcast

New Year Predictions: The Biggest Stories to Expect in 2026

Jan 19, 2026
Join Sean Ingle, Chief Sports Writer at The Guardian, as he shares insights on the thrilling sports landscape of 2026. Expect drama at the World Cup with its unique tri-country hosting and potential player fatigue due to travel strain. The Winter Olympics will debut ski mountaineering, while questions linger about the future of the Commonwealth Games. In the world of athletics, the debate around the Enhanced Games raises ethical concerns. Tune in for bold predictions and fascinating narratives that will shape the sporting year ahead!
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INSIGHT

World Cup Will Be Defined By Load And Conditions

  • The 2026 FIFA World Cup is the standout event, complicated by three hosts, extra matches, heat and travel.
  • Player load, condensed schedules and altitude/heat will likely decide outcomes more than marginal quality differences.
INSIGHT

Depth And Load Trump Small Quality Gaps

  • Expanded tournament size (more matches, larger squads) raises fatigue and squad-depth importance.
  • Teams with fresher players or better load management likely gain an edge despite small quality gaps.
ADVICE

Check Recent Minutes Before Backing Teams

  • Assess pre-tournament minutes across key players to predict fatigue risks for favourites.
  • Use recent three- to six-month match loads to gauge which teams enter with a recovery advantage.
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