The Rules of Investing

Marcus Padley reveals the secret sauce of timing markets

May 30, 2025
Marcus Padley, a veteran stockbroker with 40 years of experience and founder of Marcus Today, shares his insights on market timing versus the buy-and-hold mentality. He argues that strategic timing is crucial for risk management and performance. The discussion covers an array of investment topics, including the role of gold and lithium, the complexities of ETFs, and the importance of understanding bond yields. Marcus also emphasizes the need for emotional detachment and swift decision-making to navigate market fluctuations effectively.
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ANECDOTE

Industry's Focus Misaligns with Clients

  • Marcus Padley recounts a sales course that taught selling by raising false expectations, not focusing on customer gains.
  • He highlights the industry's focus on relative performance over absolute customer success.
INSIGHT

The Financial Advice Matrix

  • The financial advice world prefers clients to remain inactive for predictable fees.
  • Market strategists often pacify clients by promoting a positive outlook to avoid panic.
ADVICE

Market Timing Requires Vigilance

  • Marcus times markets by balancing fundamentals with sentiment, watching big moves as pivot points.
  • He stays hypervigilant, decides quickly on facts, and avoids predicting the future.
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