Economist Podcasts Poll vaulter: Brazil’s surprise election result
Oct 3, 2022
Sarah Maslin, Brazil correspondent for The Economist, provides a gripping analysis of Brazil’s unpredictable presidential election, where Bolsonaro’s unexpected strong showing sets the stage for a fierce runoff. Jonathan Rosenthal, Africa editor, sheds light on Malawi's democratic journey—its inspiring yet challenging transition from autocracy to democracy amidst economic hardships. The discussion also touches on the complexities of voter trust and the ongoing struggles for reform and stability in Malawi, showcasing the region's diverse political landscapes.
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Bolsonaro's Surprise Performance
- Jair Bolsonaro performed better than expected in Brazil's presidential election, trailing Lula by a small margin.
- This sets up a tense runoff and challenges pre-election polls.
Hidden Vote & Polling Issues
- Bolsonaro's unexpected strength may be due to a "hidden vote" and issues with polling methodologies.
- His support is geographically diverse and includes key states like Sao Paulo.
Tense Runoff Expected
- The upcoming runoff election is expected to be tense and possibly violent given the polarized political climate.
- Some Bolsonaro supporters believe Lula's potential win would signify manipulation and plan to protest.