The Dem pollster who nailed Wisconsin

Liberals won a massive victory in last week's pivotal battle for the Wisconsin Supreme Court, but the public saw precious little polling data that projected a blowout. Joining us on this week's episode of The Downballot podcast is pollster Margie Omero of GBAO, whose internal polling nailed Judge Susan Crawford's 10-point margin. Democrats hedged their bets, though, by modeling two different electorates—one redder and one bluer. Omero tells us why the latter won out, including the role that Elon Musk played in motivating Crawford's supporters.

Co-hosts David Nir and David Beard also explain why everyone needs to be prepared for a Senate map that winds up a lot more competitive than it might look on paper. With that backdrop, the Davids dive into a trio of major developments on the Senate front over the last week, including a notable Democrat jumping in in North Carolina; a MAGA favorite challenging a Republican incumbent in Texas; and the GOP's best recruit declining a bid in North Carolina.

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