ChinaTalk Export controls for AI: Will they work?
Nov 8, 2022
Emily Weinstein and Tim Hwang, research fellows at Georgetown's CSET, dive into the complexities of export controls and their impact on AI and technology development. They challenge whether U.S. measures might inadvertently boost China's tech prowess, revealing how controls can weaken American industries. The conversation highlights unconventional players like TikTok shaking up markets, and offers humorous anecdotes about trade show networking. Finally, they lighten the mood with a whimsical tune, reminding us to savor simple joys amidst serious discussions.
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Unclear Objectives of Export Controls
- Current U.S. export control policies lack clarity regarding their objectives.
- This ambiguity raises concerns about their effectiveness in achieving desired outcomes.
Space Industry Case Study
- The U.S. space industry's history demonstrates the long-term effects of decoupling and export controls.
- Despite initial delays, China eventually caught up and potentially surpassed the U.S. in space technology.
Temporary Delays and Supply Chain Adjustments
- Export controls can temporarily delay technological progress in rival nations, but not indefinitely.
- Supply chains adjust, and other countries may fill the void, diminishing the effectiveness of such controls.
