

The Black Swan
Dec 8, 2018
Nassim Nicholas Taleb, an influential author and scholar on risk, dives into the concept of 'Black Swans'—unexpected events that reshape our understanding of the world. He reveals how cognitive biases, like the narrative fallacy, skew our perception and decision-making. Taleb critiques medical assumptions and discusses the flawed nature of success narratives. He contrasts traditional career paths with unpredictable ones, emphasizing the potential rewards of embracing randomness. Finally, he shares investment strategies that balance safety with opportunity.
Chapters
Transcript
Episode notes
1 2 3 4 5 6
Intro
00:00 • 2min
Understanding Black Swans and Cognitive Biases
01:59 • 10min
Understanding Evidence and Assumptions in Medicine
11:53 • 2min
Unpacking Biases in Success Narratives
13:41 • 6min
Navigating Career Paths: Black Swans vs. Tradition
19:41 • 4min
Maximizing Serendipity and Investment Strategies
23:45 • 6min