

Iran, Israel and the calculus of revenge
Apr 17, 2024
A cycle of revenge escalates between Iran and Israel, with calculated moves on both sides. Recent events include an Israeli airstrike killing two Iranian Generals and a counterattack. Analysis delves into the strategic actions, Soleimani's influence, and legal justifications for military actions. The conflict involves drone strikes, missile interceptions, and escalating tensions
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Calculated Revenge Cycle Insight
- The conflict between Iran and Israel is a calculated cycle of revenge with carefully weighted responses to avoid full-scale war.
- Each country acts to satisfy public demand for retaliation while deterring further attacks through precision actions.
Soleimani's Assassination Impact
- Qasem Soleimani was a powerful Iranian general who orchestrated attacks against US and allies and was killed by a US drone strike.
- His death marked a dramatic escalation and triggered Iran's vow of revenge, igniting further conflict.
Mistaken Plane Shootdown Ends Cycle
- After Iran launched missile strikes in revenge, a tragic mistake occurred when a soldier shot down a civilian plane killing 176 people.
- This unexpected tragedy caused both sides to reconsider escalation and temporarily halt the revenge cycle.