Mark Leonard's World in 30 Minutes

What to expect from the conflict between Israel and Iran

Jun 19, 2025
Ellie Geranmayeh, Deputy Director of ECFR’s Middle East and North Africa programme, shares insights on the Israel-Iran conflict from the Iranian perspective, focusing on European diplomacy. Joining her is Eran Etzion, former deputy head of Israel’s National Security Council, who discusses Israel’s strategic challenges and military preparedness. They dive into the potential repercussions of U.S. involvement, the erosion of trust within Iran, and the pressing need for diplomatic solutions amidst rising tensions.
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INSIGHT

Impact of Israeli Nuclear Strikes

  • Israeli attacks have struck Iranian nuclear facilities but Iran retains confidence in its nuclear capabilities.
  • Military action risks making nuclear inspections harder and possibly worsening the nuclear issue.
INSIGHT

Israel's Strategic Position

  • Israel enjoys significant military success and the upper hand in the conflict against Iran.
  • Despite heavy damage from Iran, Israeli public support for the war remains strong though government distrust persists.
ANECDOTE

Israeli War Prep Stories

  • Naftali Bennett found Israeli war preparations against Iran lacking upon taking office and drastically reinvested in intelligence and war planning.
  • Recent revelations show Israel still felt unprepared months ago and rapidly revamped plans, leading to current operations.
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