CRE Exchange: Commercial Real Estate, Property Valuations, Real Estate Analytics and Property Tax
Tracking trends: Macroeconomic insights and real estate realities with Dr. Brad Case of Middleburg Communities
Feb 27, 2025
Dr. Brad Case, Chief Economist at Middleburg Communities, shares over 30 years of real estate economics expertise. He breaks down the rise of the build-to-rent housing sector and its significance in today’s market. Brad discusses how data-driven decisions shape rental housing development and forecasts potential recessions by analyzing market overstretch and Federal Reserve actions. He also dives into revenue management strategies post-COVID, addressing how shifting migration trends impact rental prices, while urging a cautious approach to investment in tokenization.
42:58
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Quick takeaways
- Dr. Brad Case emphasizes the importance of data-driven decision-making in real estate, enabling Middleburg Communities to identify optimal development opportunities amid fluctuating market conditions.
- The growing demand for build-to-rent housing reflects tenants' preferences for flexible living arrangements and highlights the necessity to address the middle-market housing needs.
Deep dives
Dr. Brad Case's Journey into Real Estate Economics
Dr. Brad Case developed an early interest in real estate economics while growing up in Honolulu, Hawaii, where he was intrigued by the concept of land value taxation. His academic journey further fueled this interest, particularly during his time at Berkeley, where he analyzed how Japanese investments impacted house prices in his hometown. This combination of personal curiosity and academic exploration led him to pursue a long and varied career in economics, ultimately encompassing roles in academia, government, and the private sector. These experiences shaped his understanding of both residential and non-residential real estate markets, allowing him to provide analytical support that informs major decisions in real estate development.
