The Treasury Payment System Elon Musk Now Has Access To
Feb 5, 2025
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Nathan Tankus, author of the Notes on the Crisis newsletter, delves into Elon Musk's access to the Treasury's Bureau of Fiscal Service. He discusses the critical role this unit plays in government finance and the ramifications of outdated technology like COBOL. The conversation takes a legal turn with the complexities of impoundment, highlighting the tension between executive power and congressional authority. Tankus raises alarms about potential operational risks and market stability if this payment system were to fail.
Elon Musk's access to the U.S. Treasury's Bureau of Fiscal Service raises concerns about the potential for manipulation of sensitive financial operations.
The reliance on outdated COBOL systems for government payments highlights the risks of operational failures and the challenges in ensuring payment integrity.
Deep dives
Access to a Critical Payment System
Elon Musk's team has gained access to a vital payment system within the U.S. Department of Treasury, which many fear could lead to significant risks. Reports suggest they have more than just read-only access, raising concerns about potential manipulations of sensitive financial data and government payments. The Bureau of Fiscal Service, which manages a significant portion of government payments, operates under antiquated systems that could be vulnerable if mismanaged. This newfound access is seen as alarming, not just for operational integrity but also for the broader implications it holds for financial markets and governance.
The Complexity of Government Payment Systems
The U.S. Treasury's payments system is complex, processing millions of transactions, including tax refunds and social security payments. A crucial aspect of this system is its reliance on outdated programming languages, such as COBOL, and the aging infrastructure managed by a limited number of skilled programmers. Any disruptions in this payment system could result in severe consequences, as there's no backup plan to quickly manage or redirect payments during technical failures. Understanding the intricacies of these operations sheds light on the delicate balance that keeps government payments flowing smoothly.
Concerns Over Improper Payments
Discussion around improper payments highlights the need for better systems to analyze payment legitimacy without overstepping the Bureau of Fiscal Service's operational bounds. While improving internal controls has garnered attention, questions arise regarding the extent of responsibility for identifying fraudulent or inappropriate payments. Historical precedents suggest that payment accuracy is often based on processes established by various agencies rather than centralized oversight from the Treasury. This decentralized approach complicates the challenge of ensuring payment integrity across the federal system.
Potential Risks and Legal Implications
The looming threat of operational failures raises legal and financial questions about the power dynamics between Congress and the executive branch regarding federal spending. The concept of impoundment, where the executive unilaterally withholds funds authorized by Congress, emphasizes the ongoing debate about fiscal control. If the administration were to improperly halt payments, it could lead to legal challenges, further complicating governance amidst already tense financial dynamics. As access to sensitive payment systems becomes more prevalent, it is crucial to consider both the potential for costly mistakes and the broader implications for trust in government financial operations.
Elon Musk and his Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) have gained access to a unit within the Treasury Department called the Bureau of Fiscal Service. But what does this unit actually do? How critical of a role does it play in the operations of government, and potentially, financial markets? On this episode, we speak with Nathan Tankus, the author of the Notes On The Crises newsletter. He explains both the technical aspect of this office, as well as the legal questions surrounding impoundment and the ability of the executive branch to cut off payments that have been previously authorized by Congress. We also talk about the operational risks and the potential disaster scenario should this system — which has been built in COBOL over decades — go down.
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