The President’s Inbox

The Iran Nuclear Talks, With Karim Sadjadpour

10 snips
May 13, 2025
Karim Sadjadpour, a senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, shares his insights on the intricate U.S.-Iran nuclear negotiations. He discusses the complexities of indirect talks and the recent shift toward direct dialogue, revealing the historical context of Iran's diplomatic strategies. Sadjadpour highlights the delicate balance Iran seeks to maintain regarding its nuclear program amid pressures from hardline factions and external allies like China and Russia. He also addresses the evolving dynamics among Gulf states in response to these tensions.
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INSIGHT

Shift to Direct Talks

  • The Iran nuclear talks are starting as direct discussions after a long period of indirect talks.
  • Technical details in the talks will determine the future deal's scope and success.
INSIGHT

Iran's Dual Objectives

  • Iran aims to avoid Israeli attacks on its nuclear sites and drastic economic sanctions.
  • The snapback sanction mechanism looming expiry motivates Iran to negotiate now.
INSIGHT

Conditions for Iranian Compromise

  • Iran compromises only when economic pressure, credible military threats, and diplomatic unity threaten its survival.
  • Face-saving exits are essential for Iran to accept deals, explaining past compromises.
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