People I (Mostly) Admire

15. Tim Harford: “If You Can Make Sure You're Not An Idiot, You've Done Well.”

Feb 13, 2021
Tim Harford, a former World Bank economist and acclaimed author of 'The Undercover Economist' and 'The Data Detective,' discusses the joys of making mistakes in data storytelling. He highlights Florence Nightingale's pioneering contributions to public health through innovative statistics. The conversation dives into the complexities of measuring gun ownership and the impact of motives behind data. Harford also explores how disruption can fuel creative storytelling, tying it back to his own journey in engaging audiences.
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ANECDOTE

Nightingale's Rose Diagram

  • Florence Nightingale is famous as a nurse, but she was also a pioneer in data visualization.
  • Her Rose Diagram effectively showed how improved hygiene drastically reduced soldier deaths in the Crimean War.
INSIGHT

Data Framing

  • While Nightingale's data visualization was accurate, its framing strongly suggested a causal link.
  • This highlights the potential for even accurate data to be presented in ways that influence interpretation.
INSIGHT

History of Statistics

  • Statistics is a surprisingly modern field, and its early practitioners often made significant errors.
  • Unlike some sciences, statistics developed gradually through trial and error rather than sudden breakthroughs.
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