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Odd Lots

The Real Pain From Rate Hikes May Still Be on the Way

Sep 28, 2023
47:28
Snipd AI
The podcast discusses the potential delayed impact of rate hikes on the economy. The guest speaker argues that we haven't felt the credit effects yet and explores the implications for commercial real estate and debt refinancing.
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Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • Higher interest rates may not have had a significant impact yet due to lags, but the credit effects are on their way, particularly in areas like commercial real estate.
  • Fiscal spending can have disinflationary impacts by driving specific sectors, improving capacity, and facilitating the transition to renewable energy.

Deep dives

The Impact of Fiscal Stimulus on Inflation

The interviewee explains that fiscal stimulus doesn't always lead to inflation and can actually have disinflationary effects. The spending during the pandemic was given to consumers to spend, while the current spending is aimed at capacity-building, such as the renewable boom in Texas. The interviewee also highlights the importance of understanding the purpose and outcome of fiscal spending, as it can drive specific sectors and improve capacity, which in turn can have disinflationary impacts.

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