How will the Vijay factor affect the political field in Tamil Nadu? | In Focus podcast
Oct 30, 2024
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B. Kolappan, a political analyst for The Hindu, dives into actor Vijay's political debut with his party Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam. They discuss the massive rally that indicated a strong fanbase ready for political action. Kolappan analyzes Vijay's rhetorical positioning against the BJP and DMK, questioning the potential shifts in Tamil Nadu's bipolar political landscape. He also examines the complexities of caste and religion within Vijay's support, highlighting challenges in uniting diverse voter blocks as the 2026 assembly elections approach.
Vijay's significant rally turnout suggests a strong foundation for his party, Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam, as he targets the 2026 assembly elections.
Despite his celebrity status, Vijay faces challenges in translating fan support into political success due to his lack of clear ideology and consistent engagement.
Deep dives
Vijay's Political Debut and Ambitions
Vijay's first political rally drew a significant crowd, indicating strong support for his new party, Tamil Agur Vectri Kalagam. He is clearly focused on the upcoming 2026 assembly elections, positioning himself against both the ruling DMK and the BJP, with the latter being seen as his ideological opponent. His speech gathered attention with references to prominent historical figures, reflecting his strategy to connect with the state's political legacy. By expressing a willingness to consider coalition governments, he could attract various political allies seeking representation, despite the existing dominance of the DMK and ADMK.
Challenges in Translating Stardom to Politics
Vijay faces the significant challenge of converting his massive fanbase into an effective political organization. The discussion highlights that many political figures in Tamil Nadu have successfully transitioned from cinema to politics by building robust party structures and maintaining constant public engagement. Unlike other successful figures, Vijay lacks a clear ideological position or consistent public engagement on political matters, which may hinder his efforts. His previous silence on pressing issues raises questions about his genuine commitment to politics beyond mere celebrity status.
Impact on Tamil Nadu's Political Landscape
Vijay's entry into Tamil Nadu politics may disrupt the existing bipolar structure dominated by the DMK and ADMK, but his ability to capture votes from these established parties remains uncertain. Analysts suggest he could draw some support from both major parties, yet this might also aid the BJP indirectly, depending on how electoral dynamics unfold. The historical patterns of celebrity influence in politics and the community ties Vijay has, or lacks, are crucial factors that will shape his political journey. As Vijay navigates this new realm, he must consistently engage with voters and media to solidify his role and influence in Tamil Nadu's ever-evolving political scene.
Eight months after he announced the launch of a new political party, Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK), actor Vijay held his first political rally on October 27th. The event attracted nearly three lakh supporters, and Vijay made it clear he has his eyes set on the 2026 assembly elections.
In a bid to clarify his party’s political values, he invoked the likes of Periyar, Ambedkar, Kamaraj, Anjalai Ammal, and Velu Nachiar. In a speech that lasted a little over 45 minutes, he implied that the BJP was his ideological enemy and the DMK, his political adversary.
What is the likely impact of Vijay’s foray into electoral politics? Can his party break the bipolar nature of Tamil Nadu politics? Which political parties are likely to see their vote shares erode on account of the Vijay factor?
Guest: B Kolappan, who tracks Tamil Nadu politics for The Hindu.
Host: G. Sampath, Social Affairs Editor, The Hindu.
Edited by Sharmada Venkatasubramanian.
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