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The Zombie Apocalypse with Dr. Edward Altman

Sep 11, 2024
Dr. Edward Altman, a renowned financial metrics researcher and creator of the Altman Z-Score, dives into the intriguing world of zombie companies—organizations that persist despite financial distress. He discusses how these firms misallocate resources, impede competition, and contribute to economic stagnation. With examples like Alitalia, Altman highlights the impact of government policies and interest rate subsidies that keep these non-viable entities afloat. The emergence of zombie companies in countries like Australia and Canada further emphasizes the global reach of this troubling trend.
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INSIGHT

Defining Zombie Companies

  • Zombie companies are insolvent yet survive for extended periods, struggling to cover interest payments.
  • The Altman Z-score helps identify these companies by indicating a high probability of default.
INSIGHT

Impact of Zombie Companies

  • Zombie companies misallocate resources, create disinflationary pressure, and reduce productivity.
  • They lower prices to survive, forcing healthier competitors to follow suit, hindering investment and growth.
INSIGHT

Financial Markets and Zombies

  • Ironically, sophisticated leveraged finance markets contribute to zombie company prevalence by enabling refinancing.
  • Investors seeking high returns in junk bonds and leveraged loans inadvertently prop up failing firms.
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