The Daily

The Unhappy Voters Who Could Swing the Election

Mar 6, 2024

Nate Cohn, chief political analyst for The New York Times, dives deep into the shifting political landscape as we approach the election. He highlights a crucial segment of 'double haters'—voters dissatisfied with both Biden and Trump—who may impact voter turnout. Cohn discusses alarming polling trends, especially among younger and minority demographics, and emphasizes how these undecided voters pose a threat to Biden's chances. The conversation sheds light on the volatility of voter sentiment and the challenges facing candidates in this polarized environment.

23:07

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Nate Cohn

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Quick takeaways

Disenchanted voters may swing election towards Trump, despite negative views on candidates.

'Double haters' emerging as critical demographic factor, pose threat to Biden's campaign.

Deep dives

Challenges Faced by Disillusioned Voters

Disenchanted voters express frustration and disappointment with the upcoming election, citing negative feelings towards both Joe Biden and Donald Trump. Despite unfavorable views on both candidates and a general unhappiness with their options, recent polls reveal a significant lead for Trump among registered and potential voters, marking a substantial shift in public opinion compared to previous elections. This shift poses a significant concern for the Biden campaign, as disillusionment among voters could potentially sway the election in favor of Trump.

Voters' Dissatisfaction and Indecisiveness

03:47

Exploring the Influence of Critical Voters on the Election Outcomes

01:40

Historical Precedent in Voting Behavior

01:24

Intro

2min

Voter Sentiment Post-Super Tuesday

4min

Discontent Among Double Haters

6min

The Uncertain Landscape of Undecided Voters

2min

Voter Volatility and Electoral Dynamics

9min

Political Shifts and International Negotiations

3min

Millions of voters in states across the country cast their ballots in the presidential primary on Super Tuesday, leaving little doubt that the November election will be a rematch between President Biden and former President Donald J. Trump.

But in a race that is increasingly inevitable, a New York Times/Siena College poll found a critical group of voters who are making the outcome of that race anything but certain.

Nate Cohn, The Times’s chief political analyst, explains who these voters are and why they present a particular threat to Mr. Biden.

Guest: Nate Cohn, the chief political analyst for The New York Times.

Background reading:

The big change between the 2020 and 2024 races: Biden is unpopular.
The latest NYT/Siena College poll includes those who started the survey but didn’t finish it. Here’s why.

For more information on today’s episode, visit nytimes.com/thedaily. Transcripts of each episode will be made available by the next workday.

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The Daily

The Unhappy Voters Who Could Swing the Election

Episode guests

Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

Deep dives

Challenges Faced by Disillusioned Voters

Impact of 'Double Haters' on the Election

Uncertainty and Volatility in Voter Preferences

Voters' Dissatisfaction and Indecisiveness

Exploring the Influence of Critical Voters on the Election Outcomes

Historical Precedent in Voting Behavior

Remember Everything You Learn from Podcasts