ChinaTalk Second Breakfast: Putin's Drones, SecWar Patton, Wargaming, Finding Subs
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Oct 6, 2025 Bryan Clark, a former U.S. submariner and defense analyst at the Hudson Institute, dives into the evolving landscape of modern warfare. He discusses the strategic implications of Russia's drone attacks on NATO and debates the merits of long-range strike capabilities for Ukraine. Bryan also sheds light on the goals of wargaming in military planning, the importance of logistics over warrior culture, and the challenges of modern subs in detection and engagement. AI's role in sonar detection and the intricacies of electronic warfare are also explored, offering a nuanced view of current military dynamics.
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Pressure Through Peripheral Coercion
- Russia is using limited, deniable operations in Europe to pressure NATO without decisive battlefield gains in Ukraine.
- These actions aim to create political confusion and exploit European divisions rather than to occupy territory.
Long-Range Strikes As Compellence
- Long-range strikes against Russian infrastructure aim to make life miserable for Russia and compel negotiation.
- Ukraine needs delivery systems (like Tomahawks) to exploit shared targeting and pressure Russia effectively.
Heroic Myth vs. Industrial Reality
- Patton-style warrior ethos is culturally resonant but obscures the off-screen logistics and industrial strengths that win wars.
- Hollywood focuses on discipline and swagger while real victory needed air cover, ammunition, and supply chains.
