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The Daily
A Guide to Election Night 2024
Nov 5, 2024
Nate Cohn, the chief political analyst for The New York Times, breaks down the rollercoaster of Election Night 2024. He discusses the emotional stakes for voters and how polling data paints a complicated picture. Cohn outlines potential scenarios and emphasizes the importance of battleground states like Georgia and North Carolina. He highlights the impact of mail-in voting and the expected delays from Western states. Additionally, Cohn warns about the misleading nature of early counts, which could affect public perception and add to the night’s uncertainty.
26:20
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Quick takeaways
- The podcast outlines three election scenarios for 2024, highlighting potential outcomes for Kamala Harris and Donald Trump based on demographic support and early voting trends.
- It emphasizes the significance of regional vote counting processes, which can lead to varying timelines for election results and impact the overall narrative of the election night.
Deep dives
Election Night Scenarios
Three potential scenarios for the 2024 presidential election are examined. The first scenario suggests a decisive victory for Kamala Harris, reflecting Democratic overperformance in recent elections and a growing lead from early voting trends. Conversely, a second scenario presents the possibility of a significant win for Donald Trump by maintaining support from traditionally captured demographics while also appealing to the black and Hispanic working-class voters. The third scenario indicates a tightly contested election, mirroring the close races of prior years, requiring extensive vote counting to determine the winner.
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Discover
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