Cautionary Tales with Tim Harford

DANGER: Rocks Ahead! (Classic)

11 snips
Jan 5, 2024
The tale of the Torrey Canyon unfolds, revealing how human error and pressure led a ship towards disaster. Delve into the importance of navigational manuals and the psychological pitfalls that cloud judgement. Discover 'plan-continuation bias' and its dangerous impact on decision-making, especially under stress. The missteps of Captain Ruggiati serve as a stark reminder of the consequences of reckless choices, affecting both people and the environment. These lessons resonate far beyond the sea.
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ANECDOTE

Scilly Isles Shipwrecks

  • In 1707, the Royal Navy suffered a devastating loss near the Isles of Scilly, with multiple ships wrecked and hundreds drowned.
  • Local legend claims a survivor, Sir Cloudsley Shovel, was murdered for his ring.
ANECDOTE

Torrey Canyon's Approach

  • The Torrey Canyon, a massive supertanker, was observed approaching the Seven Stones reef, a known hazard.
  • Despite clear weather and ample warning, the tanker continued on its course, alarming nearby fishermen.
INSIGHT

Time Pressure and Its Consequences

  • The Torrey Canyon's course was influenced by a time pressure to reach Milford Haven port by a specific high tide.
  • Missing the tide would result in a costly six-day delay, putting pressure on Captain Ruggiati.
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