Born to Poll (with J. Ann Selzer)

On this week’s episode of Stay Tuned, "Born to Poll," host Preet Bharara answers your questions about: -- Former Trump National Security Advisor Michael Flynn's move to withdraw his guilty plea -- House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's announcement naming the House Impeachment Managers -- The documents provided to the House Intelligence Committee by Rudy Giuliani's associate, Lev Parnas The guest is J. Ann Selzer, the president and founder of polling firm Selzer & Company. She is one of the country's most widely-respected pollsters and has been overseeing the Des Moines Register Iowa poll almost every year since the 1980s. REFERENCES & SUPPLEMENTAL MATERIALS THE Q&A MICHAEL FLYNN Mr. Flynn’s Motion to Withdraw Plea of Guilty And Unopposed Motion for Continuance, 1/14/20 “Allocution,” Legal Information Institute Federal Rules of Criminal Procedure, Rule 11. Pleas, Legal Information Institute “Michael Flynn moves to withdraw guilty plea, claiming government ‘vindictiveness,’” Washington Post, 1/14/20   IMPEACHMENT Pelosi Names Impeachment Managers, Speaker of the House, 1/15/20 “Who are the impeachment managers prosecuting the case against Trump in the Senate trial?” Washington Post, 1/15/20 Documents provided by Lev Parnas to House investigators “Ukraine prosecutor offered information related to Biden in exchange for ambassador’s ouster, newly released materials show,” Washington Post, 1/14/20 “Meet the Trump Donor Who Allegedly Stalked America’s Ambassador in Ukraine,” Daily Beast, 1/14/20   THE INTERVIEW Elizabeth Winkler, “The Pollster Who Figured Out Iowa’s Quirky Caucuses,” Wall Street Journal, 1/3/2020 Brianne Pfannenstiel, “Bernie Sanders Leads the Iowa Poll for the First Time, Weeks Before the Iowa Caucuses,” Des Moines Register, 1/10/2020 Iowa Poll Methodology, Selzer & Company,1/10/2020 Brianne Pfannenstiel, “Iowa Poll: Pete Buttigieg Rockets to the Top of the 2020 Field as a Clear Front-Runner,” Des Moines Register, 11/16/2019 Iowa Poll Methodology, Selzer & Company, 11/16/2019 Geoffrey Skelley and Nathaniel Rakich, “What the Heck is Going on With Tom Steyer’s Poll Numbers?” FiveThirtyEight, 1/13/2020 Clare Malone, “Ann Selzer is the Best Pollster in Politics,” FiveThirtyEight, 1/27/2016 Nate Silver, “Ann Selzer on Youth & Minority Turnout,” FiveThirtyEight, 9/26/2008 Steven Shepard, “Ann Selzer’s Secret Sauce,” POLITICO, 12/12/2015 Jonathan Allen and Amie Parmes, Shattered: Inside Hillary Clinton’s Doomed Campaign, Penguin Random House, 2017 J. Ann Selzer, Tweet about Iowa Poll Timing, Twitter, 1/2/2020 J. Ann Selzer, “How Cruz and Sanders Defied the Iowa Polls, Including Our Own,” Bloomberg, 2/2/2016 “Kerry Comes Back to Win Dramatic Caucuses,” CNN, 1/20/2004 Jeff Zeleny and Jim Rutenberg, “Last-Minute Scramble as Caucus Night Nears,” New York Times, 12/31/2011 Liz Halloran, “Is Huntsman Wrong to Skip Iowa?” NPR, 6/21/2011 “For Gauging Goofiness, Majority Back Iowa Poll,” New York Times, 1/29/1990 THE BUTTON Clip of Doug Collins on Fox, 1/8/20 “Preet Bharara to Georgia congressman: You've hit a shocking new low,” CNN, 1/09/20 Preet’s first, second, and third tweet about Rep. Doug Collins, 1/8/20 Doug Collins’ twitter apology, 1/10/20 As always, tweet your questions to @PreetBharara with hashtag #askpreet, email us at staytuned@cafe.com, or call 669-247-7338 to leave a voicemail. Sign up to receive the CAFE Brief, a weekly newsletter featuring analysis of politically charged legal news, and updates from Preet. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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