Iran's Strategic Calculations

Iran aims to avoid a conventional war while navigating significant internal and external challenges. The country is experiencing a leadership transition as a new generation of leaders emerges amid a struggling economy and poor election turnout, which has shaken the regime's confidence. Efforts are being made by the Iranian leadership to reset relations with the West for sanctions relief, yet they find themselves needing to maintain pressure on Israel and the US through calculated violence. This strategy seeks to impede the normalization of Arab-Israeli relations and force the US and Israel into a diplomatic stalemate.