Talking Markets: Equities edition with Dan Suzuki of Richard Bernstein Advisors
Apr 28, 2024
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Dan Suzuki, Deputy Chief Investment Officer at Richard Bernstein Advisors, discusses the near-to-medium term outlook for the US economy, equity markets, and opportunities within equities. Topics include market performance, valuation differences, sector performance, earnings growth as a performance driver, and shifting earnings trends in global markets.
Elevated valuations driven by economic expansion and earnings growth
Importance of following earnings trends for equity positioning in small-caps and emerging markets
Deep dives
Elevated Valuations and Market Optimism
The podcast discusses the reasons behind the elevated valuations in the current market environment. It highlights the prolonged economic expansion and impressive earnings growth as key factors driving optimism among investors. Noteworthy is the significant injection of liquidity into the economy, both through policy and market-driven sources, fueling the bullish sentiment. Additionally, excitement surrounding technological innovation and changes in various industries contribute to the high valuations observed.
Challenges of Strong Growth and Inflationary Pressures
The episode examines the market's response to strong economic growth and the challenges posed by potential inflationary pressures. While the initial optimism was driven by improving growth indicators, the realization of rising inflation due to demand outstripping supply has shifted the market dynamics. The tug of war between strong earnings supporting markets and the implications of tighter monetary policies and higher rates creates uncertainties, impacting different sectors and companies differently.
Global Earnings Trends and Equity Positioning
The podcast emphasizes the importance of following earnings trends for equity positioning. It suggests focusing on areas where earnings are poised to accelerate, such as small-cap and emerging markets, displaying supportive earnings trends. The recommendation extends to late-cycle cyclicals, benefiting from inflationary pressures. As global profit cycles evolve, regions like emerging markets show promising earnings growth opportunities, contrasting the peaking earnings in developed markets like Europe and Japan.
Dan rejoins the podcast to provide his near-to-medium term outlook for the US economy, monetary policy, and equity markets. We also discuss where Dan is finding opportunity within equities, as well as the risks to be mindful of as we approach 2H24. Featured is Dan Suzuki, Deputy Chief Investment Officer at Richard Bernstein Advisors. Host: Daniel Cassidy
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