1358 | Luck—the Variable We Pretend Is Skill

In this episode of Behavior Gap Radio, Carl tackles an uncomfortable truth: Luck plays a bigger role in our lives—and our outcomes—than we like to admit. He explains why, in complex environments like markets, careers, and relationships, good decisions can lead to bad results and bad decisions can occasionally pay off. Through stories, including a man who gambled everything on one roulette spin, Carl illustrates the crucial distinction between skill and luck, and why the real work is building a repeatable decision-making process. Recognizing luck, he says, brings humility, compassion, and clearer thinking in uncertain terrain.

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