The Pahalgam terror attack represents a dangerous shift in tactics, as civilians are now targeted, threatening the region's tourism economy.
India's diplomatic response, including suspending the Indus Waters Treaty, highlights a strategic evolution in counter-terrorism aimed at Pakistan-backed groups.
Deep dives
Unprecedented Terror Attack in Kashmir
A violent terror attack in Kashmir marked a significant escalation, as it specifically targeted innocent tourists, a demographic that is vital for the region's economy. This marked a disturbing departure from prior norms where such violence typically focused on security forces. The attack left 26 victims, prompting widespread shock and condolences from around the globe. In response, the Indian government initiated a thorough probe, revealing that the terror group claiming responsibility, the Resistance Front (TRF), is connected to Pakistan-based militant organizations.
The Role of the Resistance Front
The TRF, established in 2019, has differentiated itself by increasingly targeting civilians rather than security personnel, creating a disturbing shift in tactics. This group has gained notoriety for its brutal operations, including previous attacks on pilgrims and other civilians. Intelligence assessments indicate that approximately half of the foreign fighters in Kashmir are affiliated with the TRF, underscoring a foreign influence that complicates local dynamics. Recent diplomatic measures suggest a decrease in local recruitment for terrorism, indicating a potential shift in community sentiment towards such groups.
India's Diplomatic and Military Responses
In the wake of the attack, India has taken significant diplomatic measures, including suspending the Indus Waters Treaty—a critical agreement governing water resources between India and Pakistan. This suspension serves as both a strategic move to leverage water resources and a symbolic gesture of India's resolve, signifying that it will not tolerate such violence without consequences. The Indian government is also considering military responses that could involve striking terrorist leadership bases in Pakistan, reflecting an evolution in its counter-terrorism strategy. The geopolitical implications of these actions could strengthen India’s standing while isolating Pakistan diplomatically.
India has responded to the terror attacks in Pahalgam that claimed at least 25 lives of innocent tourists. A quick probe has been followed by a 5 point onslaught that strikes at an age-old water sharing agreement, infiltration, visas and diplomatic representation. Is a war imminent? Host Anirban Chowdhury is joined by ET’s defence expert Manu Pubby and diplomatic editor Dipanjan Roy Chaudhury for an in-depth breakdown of the ongoing investigation, India’s counter strike and what lies ahead.
