Kristy Akullian, Senior Investment Strategist at BlackRock, discusses the development of ETF technology, caution regarding extended positioning and futures contracts, and the path for inflation. She also shares her views on initiatives to expand opportunities for females in finance.
Personal finance is crucial for individuals to manage loans and expenses, emphasizing the need for financial independence and empowering women.
The evolution of ETF technology has seen a transition from retail-focused to highly institutional tools, with ETFs becoming substitutes or complements to derivatives.
Analysis of flows and positioning within financial markets, understanding operational alpha and increasing put activity in the ETF options market, can impact portfolio management and indicate investor sentiment.
Deep dives
The Importance of Understanding Personal Finance
The podcast episode highlights the importance of personal finance and how it can affect individuals. The guest speaker, Kristi Akulian, shares her personal experience of needing to learn about personal finance to manage her student loans and expenses. She emphasizes the significance of financial independence and the need to help women become financially independent. Her career journey in the finance industry reflects her passion for improving financial literacy and empowering individuals to make informed financial decisions.
The Evolution of ETFs and the Role of BlackRock
The podcast discusses the evolution of ETF technology and its role in the investment industry. Kristi Akulian's experience at BlackRock highlights how ETFs have transitioned from predominantly retail-focused to highly institutional tools. She talks about the Delta One Initiative and how she worked to expand the universe of investors in ETFs. The increasing institutional adoption of ETFs and their innovative use as substitutes or complements to derivatives demonstrate the evolution and maturation of the ETF industry.
Analyzing Positioning and Flows in Financial Markets
The podcast delves into the analysis of flows and positioning within financial markets. Kristi Akulian discusses the significance of net length in futures markets, particularly in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq indices, indicating potentially stretched positioning. She highlights the importance of understanding operational alpha, such as cash reinvestment rates and stock loan market dynamics, to optimize portfolio management. Additionally, she examines the implications of increasing put activity in the ETF options market and its association with a more risk-off sentiment among investors.
The importance of vehicle selection in investment strategies
Choosing the right investment vehicle is crucial for achieving desired returns and managing currency exposure. Factors such as liquidity, hedged or unhedged profiles, equity returns, and currency components need to be considered. Different types of features contracts are available, requiring additional considerations such as FX positions and currency replication. The complexity of vehicle selection is often overlooked, but it can significantly impact fund management outcomes.
Flows and opportunities in fixed income ETFs
Fixed income ETFs have witnessed significant flows and opportunities. Initially, these funds were used as risk transfer vehicles during high market volatility. However, they have since evolved to offer a broader opportunity set for investors. Record inflows have been driven by higher yields and the desire for diversification and stability in portfolios. While equity fund inflows have surpassed fixed income flows more recently, there is still potential for investing in fixed income, particularly in the medium part of the yield curve. The importance of staying invested and being mindful of exposure is highlighted, as missing out on a few key trading days can dramatically impact long-term investment outcomes.
For Kristy Akullian, an interest in economics during college was motivated by a need to learn about personal finance in order to make budget each month with student loans and other expenses. After a short stint at a boutique RIA, she joined the iShares division within BlackRock, where she is now a Senior Strategist supporting the firm’s clients on asset allocation.
Our conversation explores the development of ETF technology over the years and Kristy’s time as part of the delta one initiative in expanding the universe of investors in the product. Here we learn about her desire to be “in the weeds” on margin, clearing, taxes, dividends and funding in access products that enable synthetic replication.
We spend the balance of the conversation exploring Kristy’s role as Senior Investment Strategist and the analysis of flows and positioning that constitutes a portion of her framework. She sees extended positioning in futures contracts on broad indices like the S&P and NDX as a reason for caution. She notes, however, that investors are sitting on a tremendous amount of cash, given the much higher short rate of around 5% leaving a higher hurdle for taking on incremental risk.
With respect to the path for inflation, while she sees normalization occurring, there is a risk that the cuts implied by the yield curve do not ultimately materialize, putting more pressure on growth and leaving the potential for an accident. We finish the discussion with Kristy sharing some of her views on the state of progress on initiatives designed to expand opportunities for females in the field of finance. Here she states that it is important to think of women as investors and the work that BlackRock is doing to create model portfolios specific to unique circumstances encountered by females.
I hope you enjoy this episode of the Alpha Exchange, my conversation with Kristy Akullian.
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