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Artificial Intelligence Masterclass
We're in the endgame now! AI Experts Revise Predictions by 48 YEARS | AI MASTERCLASS
Feb 22, 2025
Experts revising AI predictions by 48 years, highlighting accelerated milestones like full labor automation and high-level machine intelligence. Discussing skepticism around revised timelines and exponential decay. Fast progress in language models leading to predictions of Artificial General Intelligence by 2024. Personal journey from skepticism to fascination with AI advancements.
14:29
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Quick takeaways
- Experts revised predictions for HLMI by 48 years, showing cognitive biases impact forecasts.
- Moore's Law history highlights AGI's near-term realization, indicating a shift towards technological progression.
Deep dives
Impact of AI Predictions on Labor Automation and High Level Machine Intelligence
The podcast delves into a study showing a significant reduction in predicted timelines for key AI milestones, such as full automation of labor and high level machine intelligence (HLMI). The data revealed a notable shift in experts' forecasts, with a 13-year decrease in the estimate for HLMI achievement by 2047. This rapid decline in projections underscores the fragility of human cognitive biases and highlights the accelerating pace of technological advancement.
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Discover
highlights
Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode