Analysis of Core PCE report and income gains impacting treasury yields.
Implications of Macy's store closures on CMBS investments and retail centers.
Insights into CMBS delinquency rates, with focus on office sector challenges.
Deep dives
Main Ideas on Core PCE Report and Monetary Default
The recent Core PCE report highlighted unexpected outcomes, with a detailed analysis of the income gains and inflation surprises that impacted treasury yields. Additionally, insights into a hotel portfolio facing challenges with property values and impending monetary default were discussed.
Economic Insights from Jamie Dimon and Macy's Announcements
Jamie Dimon's cautious outlook on the US economy and risks of high interest rates leading to recession were highlighted. The impact of Macy's announcing store closures on CMBS investments and potential implications for retail centers were explored.
CMBS Delinquency Rates and Retail Resilience
The latest data on CMBS delinquency rates showed modest increases, with a focus on the office sector showing continued challenges. In retail, positive growth was noted with malls bouncing back and retail centers demonstrating resilience and strategic leasing achievements.
Hotel Valuation Shifts and Self-Storage Acquisitions
Hotel portfolios experiencing fluctuations in valuation, such as the Club Quarters portfolio and the A-H-I-P Northeast portfolio facing monetary default, showcased challenges in the hospitality sector. Furthermore, self-storage acquisitions, like the Brooklyn property purchase, represented growth opportunities in the evolving real estate market.
Industrial Investments and Goats on the Loose
Industrial acquisitions, including the Charlotte property purchase, indicated ongoing interest in diverse real estate assets. The humorous incident of goats roaming in Arlington, Texas, highlighted the unconventional use of animals for land clearance activities.
Racing Season Beginnings and Formula One Season Opener
Closing off with a personal touch, the commencement of the racing season for vintage muscle cars with father-son restoration projects was mentioned. Additionally, the Formula One season opener was previewed, inviting fans to follow the thrilling race weekend ahead.
In this week's episode of The TreppWire Podcast, we break down PCE data, Macy's store closure news and the exposure in CRE, and Trepp's latest figures for CMBS delinquencies. Across property types, we review stories about loans heading to special servicing, property valuation reductions, and discounted payoffs. We also share a review of REIT earnings. Tune in now.
Episode Notes:
- Economic update (0:23)
- Macy's store closures (4:50)
- CMBS delinquency report (9:35)
- REIT earnings (13:38)
- Office crabgrass (19:04)
- Multifamily sales (28:27)
- Retail news (30:56)
- Lodging (37:44)
- Industrial and self-storage (44:32)
- Shoutouts (46:27)
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Questions or comments? Contact us at podcast@trepp.com.
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LinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/company/trepp
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