Over a hundred years of data and very few exceptions.

Jul 19, 2023

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#recession #deflation #inflation #retailsales #industrial #consumer
US Industrial Production fell for the second month in a row, dropping the Fed's index below the same period a year ago. A negative yearly change in IP has accompanied all 18 of the economic contractions in the NBER's library. Only six times in over a century has IP been negative on an annual basis without any full-scale recession.

Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

Bloomberg: Stocks Climb After Yellen Eases Recession Fears: Markets Wrap
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-07-16/asia-stocks-to-struggle-as-inflation-doubts-linger-markets-wrap

Bloomberg: US Industrial Production Decreased in June for a Second Month
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-07-18/us-industrial-production-fell-in-june-for-a-second-month

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Jeffrey Snider (The Promoter) is acting as a promoter for an investment advisory firm, Atlas Financial Advisors, Inc. (AFA). Jeffrey Snider is affiliated with AFA as a promoter only and is not in any way giving investment advice or recommendations on behalf of AFA. The Promoter is being compensated by a fee arrangement: The Promoter will receive compensation on a quarterly basis, based on the increase in account openings that can be reasonably attributed to the Promoter's activity. The Promoter will not be receiving a portion of any advisory fees. The Promoter has an incentive to recommend the Adviser because the Promoter is being compensated. The opinions expressed on this site and in these videos are those solely of Jeffrey Snider and Eurodollar University and do not represent those of AFA.