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HousingWire Daily

Logan Mohtashami on Trump’s tariff end game

Feb 3, 2025
Logan Mohtashami, a lead analyst known for his expertise in mortgage rates and economic trends, dives into the complexities of President Trump’s tariff strategies. He discusses the skepticism around tariff negotiations and their inconsistent impact on the market. Mohtashami also sheds light on the labor market, particularly the reliance on government and healthcare jobs. The conversation touches on bond yields, mortgage rates, and the significance of economic indicators for the housing market during the busy spring season.
30:17

Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • Effective tariff implementation requires consistency and commitment over the years to ensure behavioral changes in trade practices.
  • The housing market may see increased inventory and demand, with mortgage rates stabilizing amidst fluctuating economic indicators and labor market challenges.

Deep dives

Impact of Tariffs on the Economy

The discussion highlights the complexities surrounding tariffs, emphasizing that effective tariff implementation requires consistency and commitment over several years to induce behavioral changes in companies and international trade. The speaker suggests that without firm action on tariffs, it risks losing credibility in negotiations, drawing parallels to historical strategies that ultimately failed. As the political landscape shifts, the importance of not appearing as if negotiating from a position of weakness becomes evident, stressing that a lack of commitment can undermine future bargaining power. Given the current market reactions and the uncertainty surrounding trade, there is a pressing need for decisive measures rather than mere negotiation tactics.

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