Peter Oppenheimer, Head of Macro Research at Goldman Sachs, discusses long-term market cycles. Topics include healthcare investments, shorts on Tesla, and the impact of technology on markets. Learn about economic cycles, rising interest rates, AI, decarbonisation, Tesla challenges, and private clubs.
Innovation drives healthcare and tech, urging continuous development and market exploration.
Understanding economic cycles aids investors in strategic decisions and recognizing repetitive patterns for market timing.
Deep dives
Importance of Innovation in Healthcare and Tech
Innovation is essential in healthcare and tech, driving companies to continuously develop new products and explore untapped markets. Stagnation is not an option, pushing organizations to innovate and address areas of need.
Significance of Understanding Economic Cycles
Recognizing economic cycles, from growth expansions to contractions, and their correlation with market cycles is crucial for investors. Historical evidence highlights the repetitive nature of these cycles, aiding in identifying turning points and strategic investment decisions.
Impact of Structural Changes on Asset Allocation
Structural shifts, such as higher interest rates and government debt, suggest lower returns in risk assets over time. Diversification across assets, geographies, and styles becomes increasingly important, requiring investors to extend their time horizons and adapt to evolving market dynamics.
Today on the show, we’re taking the long view, the very long view. Our guest is
Peter Oppenheimer, the head of macro research in Europe for Goldman Sachs, and the author of Any Happy Returns: Structural Changes and Super Cycles in Markets. We talk with him about how changes in technology and finance create cycles that shape markets, and investment returns, for decades. Also, we go long healthcare, short Tesla, and short private clubs.