
China Considered
Beyond the Data: China’s Economy with Leland Miller
Feb 27, 2025
Leland Miller, co-founder and CEO of China Beige Book, shares his deep insights into the Chinese economy and U.S.-China relations. He reveals the challenges of collecting reliable data amid China's shifting economic strategies, especially regarding housing and energy. Their conversation dives into the implications of tariffs during the Trump era, urging for diversified supply chains. Miller also emphasizes the complexities of balancing national security and trade in light of China's influence in global areas like Panama.
50:04
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Quick takeaways
- The China Beige Book evolved from skepticism to a critical independent data source by offering comprehensive insights into the Chinese economy's complexities.
- China's economic strategy under Xi Jinping shifted from aggressive growth targets to a focus on sustainable, consumption-driven development tainted by rising debt risks.
Deep dives
The Genesis of China Beige Book
China Beige Book was created to address the lack of accurate information regarding the Chinese economy, which was often viewed as a 'black box.' Initially, many market participants were skeptical about the need for an independent data source, as they relied on official statistics, despite knowing their inaccuracy. However, as the Xi Jinping era progressed and economic weaknesses became more pronounced, the demand for real-time insights into China's economy grew. The organization aims to provide comprehensive coverage of various sectors and regions, revealing a more nuanced picture of the economy beyond just state-owned enterprises in tier-one cities.
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