Tarriffs, taxes, and trade: Doug Irwin on ChinaEconTalk
Sep 12, 2019
auto_awesome
Douglas Irwin, an economist at Dartmouth College, discusses the history of US trade policy, including the flawed logic behind the Tariff Act of 1930 and creative tariff engineering tactics. The podcast covers trade tensions with Japan and China, Clinton's NAFTA success, and the importance of trade policy throughout American history.
US trade policy has evolved from revenue to restriction, emphasizing reciprocity in international agreements.
Tariff engineering, like adjusting motorcycle displacement to lower tariffs, showcases creative ways to avoid trade restrictions.
Complex trade dynamics during the Reagan era highlight the interplay between free market advocates and protectionist measures.
Deep dives
Historical Context of American Trade Policy
American trade policy has been a subject of fierce political debates throughout history. From the challenges faced by enlightened statesmen in aligning economic interests with the public good to the evolution of trade policies over time, such as the shift from revenue to restriction in the 1860s, these dynamics have shaped the trajectory of US trade agreements.
Significance of Reciprocity in Trade Policy
The introduction of reciprocity as a key principle in US trade policy, exemplified through initiatives like the Reciprocal Trade Agreements Act of 1934 and the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) after World War II, aimed at reducing trade barriers and fostering international economic cooperation. This reciprocity approach highlighted the importance of negotiating with other nations to achieve mutual tariff reductions, leading to a more interconnected global trade system.
Trade Policy in the Reagan Era
During the Reagan administration, a complex interplay of factors influenced trade policies, leading to seemingly contradictory actions such as negotiating export restrictions on Japan. The division within the administration between free market advocates and proponents of protectionist measures, reflecting broader economic challenges like the recession of the early 1980s and the US trade deficit, shed light on the nuanced decision-making process behind trade policy initiatives in this era.
Reagan's Trade Policy and the Use of Temporary Trade Restraints
During Reagan's administration, trade restraints were used due to high unemployment rates and tight monetary policies. Temporary trade measures were implemented to mitigate impacts on industries like sugar tariffs and import quotas, leading to creative ways to avoid tariffs, like altering product specifications.
US-Japan Trade Relations and Differences with China
Reagan faced challenges in trade relations with Japan, similar to current issues with China. Both cases involved large trade deficits and accusations of unfair practices. However, the US-Japan relationship was more amicable due to shared democratic values and alliances. In contrast, US-China tensions are intensified by geopolitical rivalries and retaliatory tariffs, making resolution more complex.
Douglas Irwin is the John French Professor of Economics at Dartmouth College and the author of Clashing Over Commerce: A History of US Trade Policy. On this episode, Irwin provides an overview to the history of U.S. trade policy from the 18th century to the modern day, highlighting significant legislation as well as the formation of important intergovernmental organizations that have sprung up along the way.
19:53: On the flawed logic behind the Tariff Act of 1930, and the parallels with similarly problematic thinking in the modern day: “There’s absolutely a parallel there because some Democrats in Congress said, ‘You know, we ought to really think about this carefully, and not just our domestic interest but also our export interests, and other countries might retaliate.’ And basically, the reaction of most members of Congress was, Republicans at the time, ‘No, we don’t have to worry about that. This is a domestic piece of legislation, it doesn’t really concern other countries. They’re not going to retaliate.’ And, of course, they did.”
39:40: Doug discusses the tips and tricks behind one example of “tariff engineering”: “The tariffs applied to motorcycles with piston displacements of 700cc and above. What Honda started doing is producing a 699cc version. Now the difference [between the two] is imperceptible, but just by changing that one cubic centimeter, it changed the whole tariff treatment and you avoided a 45 percent tariff and were assessed at a much, much lower rate.”
Jordan will be hosting his first-ever live recording of ChinaEconTalk at the Carnegie Endowment in Washington, D.C., at 6:00 p.m. on Thursday, September 19. Be sure to drop by Mission Dupont afterward for dinner or drinks!