
UBS On-Air: Market Moves
Viewpoints with Burkhard Varnholt - A global markets podcast (Ep. 30)
Mar 28, 2025
Burkhard Varnholt, an expert in global markets, shares his insights on trade, tariffs, and investment strategies. He reflects on how companies are adapting their supply chains amid recent tariff developments. Varnholt highlights key investment opportunities in resilient sectors like AI and infrastructure amidst market volatility. He also discusses oil price dynamics shaped by geopolitical tensions, mentioning the oversupply situation and upcoming insights from a visit to Riyadh. This conversation is packed with valuable perspectives for investors!
09:38
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Quick takeaways
- Tariffs are reshaping global supply chains, prompting businesses to shift towards air freight in anticipation of impending changes, resulting in a surge in U.S. imports.
- Despite economic anxiety, resilience in sectors like AI and infrastructure, along with high consumer spending and record savings in Europe, presents unique investment opportunities.
Deep dives
Impact of Tariffs on Supply Chains and Commodities
Tariffs are significantly influencing global supply chains and commodities, as companies scramble to adjust to expected changes. A logistics CEO shared that businesses are now opting for air freight over shipping as a preemptive measure to avoid impending tariffs, marking a shift to what he calls 'just before tariffs' supply chains. This preemptive behavior has led to a notable increase in U.S. imports, reaching $3.5 trillion, while commodities like copper have seen price surges, indicating stronger economic activity. Despite the widespread concern about tariffs potentially driving inflation, it’s crucial to distinguish the exaggerated claims from substantive economic indicators, as the reality of tariff impacts is often overstated.
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