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HousingWire Daily

Logan Mohtashami on recession signals and what they mean for housing

May 20, 2024
Lead Analyst Logan Mohtashami discusses recession signals impacting housing and mortgage rates. Topics include rent inflation, historical home prices during recessions, mortgage rates' influence on housing demand, analyzing rate changes on housing, affordability challenges for millennials, predicting recession impact on housing industry, and future trends in real estate based on labor market conditions.
30:08

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Quick takeaways

  • Recession signals impact housing affordability through job loss concerns and market equilibrium.
  • Builders adapt to market conditions, leveraging low mortgage rates and housing demand for increased sales.

Deep dives

Impacts of Recession Signals on Housing Market Affordability

The podcast discusses the potential effects of recession signals on housing market affordability. The guest, lead analyst Logan Motoshami, addresses concerns about job loss recession and its impact on affordability. Despite wage growth slowing down and increased housing supply, which may improve affordability over time, the focus remains on the equilibrium between supply and demand during a recession. Examples from past recessions, such as the tech recession, are used to highlight varying impacts on housing prices and sales, emphasizing the complexity of market dynamics.

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