

Daybreak Weekend: Fed Decision, Trump UK Visit, BOJ Policy
5 snips Sep 12, 2025
Lee Clasgow, a Senior Transport Logistics and Shipping Analyst, shares insights on the FedEx earnings report and the impact of trade policies on logistics. Ellen Milligan, a political correspondent, discusses President Trump's upcoming visit to the UK, including political ramifications and protest dynamics. Mia Glass, a Japan FX reporter, explores the impending Bank of Japan policy changes amidst political turbulence, emphasizing how inflation and leadership shifts could affect future monetary strategies.
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Fed Likely To Cut 25bps, Guidance Matters
- The Fed is likely to cut rates by 25 basis points but not 50 given weakening labor market and sticky inflation.
- Markets will key on Fed guidance, dot plot, and whether the terminal rate forecast gets lowered.
Services Inflation Complicates Fed Path
- August CPI showed services inflation driving the surprise, not goods, which complicates Fed policy choices.
- The Fed may avoid specific guidance for October and December to gather more data first.
Focus On FedEx Guidance Not Just Results
- Watch FedEx's earnings for management guidance on volumes and cost cuts amid tariff changes and weaker industrial demand.
- Expect discussion of de minimis rule removal, China‑US parcel declines, and Network 2.0 impacts.