Dr. Philip Shetler-Jones, an expert on Indo-Pacific security, Dr. Burcu Ozcelik, who focuses on Middle Eastern dynamics, and Callum Fraser, specializing in Russian foreign policy, delve into the evolving role of BRICS amid shifting global power. They discuss the impact of the recent BRICS summit on multipolarity, challenges of digital currency initiatives, and the group's expansion as a counterweight to Western influence. The trio also examines the balance of interests among member nations and the potential for BRICS to affect regional security dynamics.
The BRICS summit marks a significant shift towards a strategic entity aimed at contesting US-led global dominance through expanded membership.
Internal dynamics within BRICS reveal conflicting visions among members, with some seeking reform rather than outright opposition to Western institutions.
Deep dives
Expansion and Strategic Purpose of BRICS
The recent BRICS summit highlighted a shift from being perceived as merely a talking shop to becoming a significant strategic entity aimed at challenging the influence of the US-led global order. This transformation is exemplified by the inclusion of new members such as Iran and the UAE, reflecting a growing coalition of countries dissatisfied with Western dominance. Russia and China, in particular, are promoting BRICS as a multipolar organization that emphasizes national sovereignty and non-interference, appealing to many developing nations. The summit's location in Kazan was symbolic, showcasing a more multicultural Russia and signaling a shift in global power dynamics from the West to the East.
Competing Visions Within BRICS
Internal dynamics within BRICS reveal competing visions among member states, especially concerning its anti-Western stance and future direction. While countries like Brazil and India express discomfort with a confrontational approach, they seek reforms to the existing international system rather than outright opposition to the West. This tension indicates a broader desire for representation and recognition within global governance, where many developing nations feel sidelined by established institutions. As debates continue over any future expansion of BRICS, it becomes evident that a unified vision of multipolarity is complicated by the differing interests of its members.
China's Dominance and Interests in BRICS
China's economic power plays a crucial role in shaping the BRICS agenda, as it leverages the platform to advance its strategic objectives while promoting cooperation among emerging economies. President Xi has framed BRICS as a key channel for advocating for reforms in global governance and enhancing the role of the Global South. While China benefits from the solidarity of BRICS members, concerns arise about a potential China-centric order, where other members could be overshadowed by China's economic might. Therefore, balancing this dynamic within BRICS is essential, as disagreements among major players like China and India could impact the organization's long-term viability.
The Future of Global Governance: BRICS vs. G20
The competing frameworks of BRICS and the G20 illustrate the ongoing struggle for influence in global governance and the need for reform in international institutions. The G20, led prominently by Brazil, offers a more stable platform for addressing international challenges, with established processes for cooperation and dialogue among both Western and non-Western nations. In contrast, BRICS serves as a more performative space for discussing grievances without the same level of operational impact or accountability. As these two entities evolve, the involvement of key players in both will be crucial in shaping the future of the international order, potentially leading to new coalitions or fragmentation based on shared interests.
The world order is being challenged by new organisations and initiatives designed to sideline existing Western-led institutions.
The latest summit of the group of states known collectively as the BRICS is a case in point. Originally involving Brazil, Russia, India and China, with South Africa joining later, the group has now expanded to bring in new members, including Iran, Egypt, Ethiopia and the UAE, with a long waiting list of other potential members building up. Often seen as a ‘talking shop’, the BRICS has been given a new strategic purpose by Russia and China as a mechanism to challenge US-led alliances and global institutions.
But the BRICS is not the only international format to emerge in recent years. And Brazil, together with India, has been uncomfortable with China and Russia’s efforts to turn the BRICS into an anti-Western bloc. In this episode, host Neil Melvin is joined by Dr Philip Shetler-Jones, Dr Burcu Ozcelik and Callum Fraser from the International Security team at RUSI to discuss what sort of organisation the BRICS is becoming as efforts are made to consolidate its activities and expand its membership. Can a new international order emerge from the current ferment?
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