Post Reports The Campaign Moment: The politics of the Trump guilty verdict
May 31, 2024
Senior political reporter Aaron Blake and colleague Ashley Parker discuss the politics of Trump's guilty verdict, Republican and Democrat reactions, and the politicization of the rule of law. They explore the implications, GOP responses, and potential consequences for the 2024 campaign.
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Verdict's Unprecedented Political Weight
- The verdict felt unprecedented and surprising whether guilty or not guilty.
- A hung jury would have made the most intuitive sense given Trump's polarizing nature.
Small Shifts Can Decide The Election
- Small shifts in public opinion matter because the election hinges on narrow margins in key states.
- Even a 2% change could decide the outcome despite broad polarization.
Campaigning With Conviction As A Rallying Cry
- Trump will immediately cast the verdict as a rigged political attack and use it to rally supporters.
- The campaign already turned the conviction into fundraising and merchandise opportunities.