The Rachman Review Are we any closer to peace in Ukraine?
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May 1, 2025 Lawrence Freedman, an Emeritus Professor of War Studies at King’s College London, discusses the complexities of achieving peace in Ukraine amid ongoing conflict. He delves into the contrasting expectations of Russia and Ukraine, territorial disputes, and the impact of American strategies. The conversation also highlights the evolution of warfare, particularly the role of drones, and the divided U.S. perspectives on foreign policy. Freedman emphasizes the potential for the conflict to persist, influenced by economic challenges and political motivations from both sides.
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Complexities of Trump's Peace Plan
- The Trump peace plan expects Ukraine to accept Russia's control over some territories and no NATO membership for Ukraine.
- Both Russia and Ukraine find these terms problematic, highlighting the plan's fundamental challenges.
Ukraine's Growing Self-Reliance
- Ukraine's defense is strengthened by drone warfare and local production of ammunition and drones.
- Despite reduced dependence, Ukraine still heavily relies on U.S. intelligence and heavy weaponry support.
Defense Advantage in Modern War
- Defense remains the stronger form of warfare, aided by modern technology like drones.
- Battlefield transparency from drones makes large-scale offensives increasingly difficult.