The 17 Things I Am 100% Certain About | Frankly #60
Apr 12, 2024
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Exploring firm beliefs about human behavior and climate change, uncertainties in environmental movements, and future challenges. Critiquing negative consequences of scaling innovations and advocating for a systemic perspective. Embracing uncertainties, human responsibility, mental abundance, and listening. Transition from assertiveness to contemplation, emphasizing listening, openness, and dedication to nature.
Acknowledging uncertainty in strong beliefs promotes open-mindedness and awareness of blind spots.
Balancing material scarcity with mental richness is crucial for sustainable living and societal development.
Deep dives
Human Delusion and Overconfidence
Humans have been adaptive in being delusional and overconfident in social interactions. Uncertainty consumes mental bandwidth, leading to overconfidence despite potential blind spots. There's acknowledgment of the uncertainty even in strong convictions, recognizing human fallibility and the unseen blind spots.
Climate Change Certainty and Environmental Movement
There is certainty in the contrast between climate change concerns. It's emphasized that those extremely worried about climate change and those dismissing it cannot both be correct. The prediction of the Holocene and Thropocene thermal maximum as a crucial event in human history is expressed with caution due to the complexity of the climate system.
Material Scarcity and Mental Abundance
Expectations of a world facing material scarcity in the future are intertwined with the possibility of experiencing abundance through different perspectives. The coexistence of material scarcity and mental richness is highlighted, showcasing a potential for sustainable living practices even with reduced resource consumption. The importance of balancing material resources and mental well-being for future societal development is underscored with examples of people living fulfilling lives on fewer resources.
In this week’s Frankly, Nate offers a list of things he is absolutely certain of… or as certain as any human can be. Each of us has grounding beliefs about the reality around us with which we shape our outlook on the world and how we’d like to interact with it. How will planetary and energetic limits interact with human society and culture in the future? Can we recognize truisms about our world without becoming closed off to ways of learning and understanding? What are the fundamental realities of the world around us - and how do they constrain our pathways for the future?