

Value Investing Is Still Possible in Today's Bloated Market
Sep 23, 2024
Chris Pavese, the president and chief investment officer of Broyhill Asset Management, shares his insights on value investing amidst today's challenging market. He discusses Broyhill's unique approach, which prioritizes safe, long-term success and has outperformed the S&P 500 without relying on major tech stocks. Chris also explains the dynamics of closed-end funds and his macro outlook regarding Federal Reserve policies. Despite a concentrated market, he identifies emerging pockets of value and emphasizes the importance of risk management and maintaining a margin of safety.
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Broyhill's Performance
- Broyhill has kept pace with the S&P 500 despite not holding MAG7 stocks and having half of their portfolio in foreign markets.
- They've weathered value underperformance by focusing on mispriced securities and specific catalysts.
Closed-End Fund Opportunities
- Closed-end funds offer opportunities due to sentiment-driven price swings, unlike open-ended funds.
- Broyhill bought municipal bond funds at significant discounts during COVID, profiting from the closing spread.
Interest Rate Cuts and Market Sentiment
- Chris Pavese believes that predicting interest rate cuts is like a coin toss, and market reactions are equally uncertain.
- He notes that starting a rate cut cycle with 50 basis points has historically been a negative sign, possibly indicating a worse economic outlook than perceived.