Stansberry Investor Hour

On this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Corey welcomes his colleague Brett Eversole back to the show. Brett is the editor of the True Wealth, True Wealth Systems, and DailyWealth newsletters. He also serves on the Investment Committee for Stansberry Portfolio Solutions. Brett kicks things off by sharing what he learned from his mentor Steve Sjuggerud, including the investment philosophy of buying assets that are "cheap, hated, and in an uptrend." He examines the recent tariff drama and why he believes we're about to return to a boring market fueled by fundamentals after several months of turbulence. As Brett explains, a lot of it has to do with increased capital spending from hyperscalers. (0:46) Next, Brett reviews the difference between secular bull markets and cyclical bull markets. He compares today's bull market (driven by AI) with the bull market of the late '90s (driven by the Internet), noting that a massive infrastructure buildout caused both. Brett predicts a normal market for the next few years, followed by a dot-com-style AI boom and then a "lost decade." He also discusses the S&P 500 Index decoupling from the U.S. economy, tariffs hurting smaller companies, and why he's bullish on gold and silver. (14:59) Finally, Brett talks about indicators that investors can use to gauge the market's underlying health, as well as what divergence between the indicators can mean in both the short and long term. He then dives into his work on Stansberry Portfolio Solutions, including the strategy the team uses to find the best companies and how to manage risk. And he closes things out with an in-depth analysis of today's real estate market. (33:29)

On this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan and Corey are joined by Nick Maggiulli. Nick is the chief operating officer of Ritholtz Wealth Management and founder of the financial blog Of Dollars and Data. His new book, The Wealth Ladder, comes out next week.  Nick kicks off the show by discussing The Wealth Ladder, including the six different levels of wealth and why income is a more crucial factor to building wealth than behavior. He also talks about jobs that will be a safe haven once artificial intelligence ("AI") becomes more prevalent, the mistakes people make when buying income-producing assets, the importance of diversification, and why he prefers to invest in index funds. (0:40) Next, Nick goes in depth on the spending mistakes people make that prevent them from moving up to a higher wealth level. He touches on diversification again, using Elon Musk versus Bill Gates as an example. Plus, he covers the different strategies for different wealth levels, why it's important to still focus on the nonfinancial things in life, statistical data for whether money can buy happiness, and the significance of money being a quantifiable thing. (17:27) Finally, Nick discusses the things that financially successful people may be overlooking, why the strategy for success may vary on a case-by-case basis, and the different levels of spending freedom. He says that level two allows freedom in the grocery store, level three allows freedom at restaurants, and level four allows freedom for traveling. And he shares a handy formula for people to use when it comes to nonessential spending. (35:15)

On this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan and Corey welcome their colleague Alan Gula back to the show. Alan is an editor and member of the Investment Committee for The Total Portfolio and Stansberry's Forever Portfolio, as well as a senior analyst for flagship newsletter Stansberry's Investment Advisory. Alan kicks off the show by analyzing a chart of the S&P 500 Index since 1957. He notes that the index is running 35% above its long-term trend, which is high but not a historic extreme. Focusing on just the past 15 years, Alan discusses the current secular bull market and whether artificial intelligence ("AI") could usher in a dot-com-style boom. He also goes in depth on The Total Portfolio's investment philosophy, what kinds of assets are in the portfolio, how the portfolio has outperformed this year, and the difficulty with being truly diversified. (0:40) Next, Alan talks about managed futures and why their negative correlation with the S&P 500 makes them "the ultimate portfolio diversifier." As he explains, almost all investment advisers simply follow trends nowadays, so The Total Portfolio is one of the only places you can find truly diversified recommendations that'll protect you in any outcome. He then shares why he believes the traditional 40% allocation to bonds is dead, recommends two better ways to invest in this space, and explores where we are in the current bull market. (18:44) Finally, Alan advises bearish listeners to keep looking for opportunities. He says you can't predict the future, but you can set up win-win scenarios. This leads to a conversation about real estate investment trusts, sector correlations, strategies for picking stocks, and both the pros and cons of AI replacing human jobs. (34:26)

On this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan and Corey welcome their colleague Bryan Beach back to the show. Bryan is the editor of Stansberry Venture Value and a senior analyst on Stansberry's Investment Advisory. Bryan kicks things off by discussing passive investing, the stock market's "relentless bid," and what could derail passive investing in the future. He points out that the total assets invested passively surpassed those invested actively last year. Not only is this an important fundamental change, but Bryan says that this alters the dynamic between investors and Mr. Market that legendary economist Ben Graham outlined 70-plus years ago. Then, using Microsoft as an example, Bryan analyzes whether it's realistic to expect the Magnificent Seven companies to return to lower multiples. (0:47) Next, Bryan talks about all the headwinds Apple has faced in the past six months and why he believes the stock would be down much more than it is today if it weren't receiving so many passively invested dollars. He says the size of the relentless bid reached a critical mass during the pandemic, and now the S&P 500 Index will continue to grind higher indefinitely. The only thing that can offset this natural inertia is bad economic news (such as tariffs), and even that is temporary. As Bryan points out, many passive investors aren't aware of what they're doing, so it would take legal changes to fix the problem. (19:32) Finally, Bryan explains that this relentless bid does not apply to every corner of the market. He says small caps and microcaps are still great places to find value. Plus, Bryan discusses the unique situation Tesla is in today, makes a bullish case for restaurant-operations company PAR Technology, and discusses what he got wrong with special purpose acquisition companies ("SPACs") back in 2022. (42:56)

On this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan and Corey are joined by Joe Austin. Joe is an editor and senior analyst at our corporate affiliate Chaikin Analytics. He spent four decades in the financial-services industry and now joins the podcast to share some of his insights and future outlooks. Joe kicks off the show by outlining his background in finance and how he got involved at Chaikin Analytics. He delves into the usefulness of the Power Gauge, how he combines the tool with fundamentals to make stock-picking decisions, and what specific factors he finds most important. Next, Joe talks about artificial intelligence ("AI"). He says you can invest in the technology either by buying the companies developing AI or by buying non-AI companies that are implementing the technology to improve their businesses. Joe prefers the latter. He notes that certain industry groups are integrating AI more than others, and those would give you the biggest areas of opportunity. (0:38) Next, Joe discusses the data sets which AI uses and why the companies with the best data will win out in the end. He gives medical-technology company Veeva Systems and tool manufacturer Snap-on as two such examples. Joe then shares how macro influences affect his investing process, what he learned about the insurance industry from working in it, and one particular company he believes will do well in the long term. (17:58) Finally, Joe highlights specific industries he stays away from, the importance of understanding where you went wrong with an investment, and how he decides when to sell a stock. He notes that stocks that rise the most tend to fall the most... and that having fresh capital to use on new ideas is crucial. And he reminds listeners that having a defensive strategy is often more important than having an offensive strategy. (36:50)

On this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan and Corey welcome Rupal Bhansali back to the show. Rupal is the founder, CEO, chief investment officer, and portfolio manager of investment adviser Double Duty Money Management. She's also the author of the book Non-Consensus Investing and a leading figure in value investing, with more than three decades of experience. Rupal kicks off the show by discussing her investment philosophy, how she defines "winning" in the stock market, the main misconception about contrarian investing, and why it's more important to not lose money in the market than to earn money. She warns investors that they can still lose money when investing in a high-quality company. As she says, the key to value investing is low downside. Rupal uses the auto industry as an example of a low-quality, cyclical industry, but highlights the hidden opportunity in tires, which are a consumer staple and not cyclical. (0:38) Next, Rupal talks about getting the best of both worlds with growth and value investing. She notes that this is very difficult to do today with U.S. stocks but that there are many untapped opportunities abroad – especially in Latin America. Rupal then delves into the world of diversification, including why having uncorrelated investment ideas in your portfolio is so crucial. This leads to a conversation about knowing when to buy more shares when one of your stocks is down versus cutting your losses and selling completely. Rupal outlines three core reasons to sell a stock, regardless of whether a stop loss was hit or not. (16:15) Finally, Rupal gives her opinion on buying companies like Costco Wholesale that have very high multiples but keep trading higher. She says the reward isn't worth the risk, since there are 49 non-Costcos for every Costco, and trying to find the one winner is very difficult. Rupal reiterates that it's all about cutting your losses early, accepting that you'll get things wrong, and learning from your mistakes. She also covers the wider macro environment relating to President Donald Trump's tariffs, clarifying that she's "macro aware" rather than "macro driven." (29:48)

Mike Barrett, editor of Select Value Opportunities and senior analyst at Stansberry Research, shares his expertise on cash-flow modeling to uncover undervalued growth stocks. He discusses the implications of Trump's tariffs on market cycles, warning of limited upside for stocks amid overvaluation and extreme sentiment. Mike emphasizes the need for quality businesses in portfolios and delves into his investment philosophy, highlighting Nvidia’s potential and the opportunities within Sprouts Farmers Market due to rising weight-loss drug popularity.

In this engaging discussion, Jim Carroll, a senior wealth adviser and portfolio manager with deep expertise in stock market volatility, shares his journey into volatility trading. He unpacks the chaos of 'Volmageddon' and reveals how investor behavior, especially around call options, can drive the VIX higher. Jim introduces his 'VIX Mix'—a composite of 17 indicators for predicting market movements. With insights on risk management and strategies for both short-term traders and long-term investors, this conversation is a must-listen for anyone navigating market turbulence.

Garrett Baldwin, a research economist and financial journalist, shares his insights on the shifting landscape of American finance. He discusses the impact of leaving the gold standard, revealing how liquidity drives economic cycles. Baldwin warns that while official inflation is at 3%, true currency debasement may be 6% to 8%. He highlights the Cantillon effect, where excessive money printing hurts everyday Americans, and explains why many now pay rent to foreign investors. Additionally, he outlines investment strategies and trends to watch for in the coming years.

On this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan and Corey welcome Vitaliy Katsenelson back to the show. Vitaliy is the CEO and chief investment officer of Investment Management Associates. He's also an author, award-winning writer, and founder of "The Intellectual Investor" newsletter and podcast.  Vitaliy kicks off the show by discussing the difficulty in writing books and how he has evolved as an investor over the years. He explains that through continuous trial and error, he has learned not to dumpster-dive for bad stocks just because they're cheap. He emphasizes the value of good management, knowing your own strengths, and allowing yourself to say no to investments that aren't in your circle of competence. Vitaliy also gives his thoughts on Warren Buffett's retirement and Berkshire Hathaway's stock today. (1:40) Next, Vitaliy shares his experience running portfolios and how his strategy differs from Buffett's. This leads to a conversation about what could happen to Berkshire after Buffett passes and what made Vitaliy decide "I don't want to be like Buffett." He gives his nuanced take on learning from legendary businessmen and other historical figures without agreeing with them on everything. Similarly, the U.S. trading with countries it disagrees with (like Russia) is important. Vitaliy discusses his own experience growing up in the Soviet Union and being "brainwashed" to hate Americans. And he talks more about finding a good work-life balance, no matter your career. (21:19) Then, Vitaliy dives into the psychology behind decision-making and willpower. He quotes one of his favorite sayings as a reminder to investors: "Knowing and not doing is not knowing." After that, Vitaliy shares why he believes Uber Technologies still has a lot of upside today. He notes that the stock isn't cheap, but it is undervalued. And he breaks down his reasoning for wanting to hold the stock long term, including its potential to incorporate Waymo or other self-driving cars on its app. (39:26)