Eurodollar University

Australian Central Bank Just Sent a MASSIVE Warning to the World

4 snips
Jul 18, 2025
The Reserve Bank of Australia recently paused interest rate cuts amidst rising unemployment, marking the highest jobless rate in four years. The Bank of England is facing similar challenges, prompting a discussion on central banks' struggles to manage economic downturns. There’s a focus on the mixed signals in Australia’s economy and potential future rate cuts. Global labor market trends show rising unemployment rates impacting monetary policy, revealing the ongoing dilemma central banks face in a complex economic landscape.
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INSIGHT

Rate Cut Pauses Are Temporary

  • Rate cut pauses happen often but never end the cycle.
  • Once started, central banks must keep cutting rates due to persistent economic weakness.
INSIGHT

RBA's Dovish Shift Is Psychological

  • RBA's sudden dovish shift in May was to influence economic psychology.
  • Rate cuts largely serve market reassurance rather than reflect real financial conditions.
INSIGHT

RBA Pause Not A Final Decision

  • RBA paused rate cuts in July, citing reduced trade war risks.
  • Yet, economic deterioration means cuts will resume before year-end.
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