ChinaTalk
Preventing an Invasion of Taiwan
Jun 3, 2024
Jared McKinney, an expert from the Air War College, and Peter Harris, a Professor at Colorado State University, discuss the precarious situation in Taiwan amidst a backdrop of daily cyberattacks and military drills by China. They delve into the dynamics of deterrence, examining the decay of current strategies and proposing ways for Taiwan to enhance its defense. The conversation highlights the complexities of decision-making under pressure, the risks of symbolic gestures, and the significance of strategic ambiguity in preventing conflict. Tune in for an insightful analysis!
01:32:57
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Quick takeaways
- Maintaining multi-layered deterrence is crucial, involving different actors and capabilities.
- Shift from constraints to restraints impacts deterrence strategies and stability in the Taiwan Strait.
Deep dives
Taiwan's Historical Position of Security
From the late 1950s to the early 2000s, Taiwan was in a fairly secure position where a PRC invasion was unlikely due to robust deterrence measures, including Taiwanese and American military power collaboration. American military engagement, the Taiwan Strait Patrol, and even tactical nuclear weapons stationed in Taiwan contributed to this secure stance.
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