Hold Your Fire! Another South Asia Cross-Border Crisis: Afghan and Pakistani Forces Clash
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Oct 18, 2025 In this discussion, Ibraheem Bahiss, an Afghanistan expert, and Samina Ahmed, South Asia director, delve into the recent clashes between Afghan and Pakistani forces. They explore the turbulent relationship between Kabul and Islamabad, revealing why the Taliban struggles to control the Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP). Samina highlights the rising militant violence in Pakistan and its impact on civilians. Both guests also consider Pakistan's shifting foreign relations, including newfound ties with Saudi Arabia and the U.S., amidst concerns over India's role in Afghanistan.
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Airstrikes Sparked Major Border Escalation
- Pakistan likely carried out airstrikes in Kabul and border provinces after a TTP attack killed a senior Pakistani officer.
- The strikes triggered intense cross-border fighting and a temporary 48-hour ceasefire mediated by Qatar and Saudi Arabia.
TTP Roots Cross The Border And Resisted Crackdowns
- The TTP grew after being pushed from Pakistani strongholds in 2014 and found sanctuary across the Afghan border.
- The Taliban's ideological and social ties to the TTP make Kabul's ability to fully crack down limited.
Taliban Fear Internal Fracture From Crackdowns
- Taliban privately warn that cracking down on TTP risks fracturing their movement or driving fighters to ISKP.
- This political and social interdependence shapes Kabul's cautious, often denialist public stance.